The Journal "Agriculture and Forestry"
Časopis "Poljoprivreda i šumarstvo"
- Since 1955 -
Volume 70, Issue 1 (31.03.2024)
| Volume : | 70 |
| Issue : | 1 (31.03.2024) |
| Authors : | Sabrija ČADRO, Mirza UZUNOVIĆ, Zuhdija OMEROVIĆ, Emina VLAHOVLJAK, Almira KONJIĆ, Monika MARKOVIĆ |
| Title : | CLIMATE CHANGE INFLUENCE ON THE OCCURRENCE OF EXTREME DRY-WET PERIODS IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA |
| Abstract : | The air temperature in Bosnia and Herzegovina is increasing (0.3 - 0.6 °C per decade), while rainfall events are more extreme. Additionally, there is an increased variability in weather conditions across all seasons, marked by rapid shifts from extremely cold to warm weather, as well as transitions from periods of exceptionally high rainfall to exceedingly dry periods. Droughts and floods pose the most significant risks. However, Bosnia and Herzegovina faces a lack of adequate information and analyses of extreme climate events, especially regarding their timing, intensity, magnitude, duration, and spatial extent. Therefore, this study aims to address these questions using the precise drought index SPEI. The identified wet years were: 1969, 1970, 1976, 1978, 1999, 2001, 2010, 2013, and 2014, while the dry years were 1961, 1971, 1983, 1990, 2000, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2012, and 2020. In the northern and western regions of BiH, the longest wet period in terms of duration and spatial extent occurred from May 2014 to July 2015. In the central and southern parts of BiH, the longest wet period extended over 19 months from February 1969 to August 1970. The longest drought with the largest spatial extent was the drought from August 2011 to July 2013. The obtained data shows a significant shift towards drier weather, as dry months have increased by 15% compared to wet months. At the same time, there has been a decrease in near-normal conditions and an increase in extremely wet months |
| For citation : | Čadro, S., Uzunović, M., Omerović, Z., Vlahovljak, E., Konjić, A., Marković, M. (2024). Climate Change Influence on Occurrence of Extreme Dry-Wet Periods in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Agriculture and Forestry, 70(1), 325-344. https://doi.org/10.17707/AgricultForest.70.1.21 |
| Keywords : | SPEI, Drought, Flood, Climate change, extreme weather conditions |
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